ADMS

The Institute of Soil Science and Plant Cultivation – State Research Institute, in accordance with an Act from the Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development has developed the climatic water balance for all 2478 Polish local districts and, on the basis of soil categories, calculated the current risk of agricultural drought for the following crops: grain maize and maize for silage, potato, sugar beet, hops, tobacco, ground vegetables, fruit shrubs and trees, strawberries and legumes.

In the tenth reporting period, i.e. from July 1st to August 31st, 2016, IUNG-PIB stated no risk of agricultural drought conditions in Poland. The Climatic Water Balance values, which are the basis for assessing the risk of agricultural drought, are negative for the majority of areas. However, for the aforementioned crops the values are higher than critical.

In this reporting period the lowest Climatic Water Balance values have been recorded in the south-eastern part of the Lubelska Upland (Roztocze) and in the region between the three geographical areas: the Dobrzyńskie Lake District, the eastern part of the Wielkopolskie Lake District, and the north-western part of the Mazowiecka Lowland. The lowest Climatic Water Balance values in these areas range from -109 to -139 mm.

In the current sixty-day period, from July 1st to August 31st 2016, the Climatic Water Balance values in Poland have increased, on average, by 8 mm in comparison to the previous reporting period.

The air temperature in June this year was higher by 1°C than the multiannual average in the vast majority of areas. The maximum variation of the monthly average was recorded in the area of Wrocław (2°C). June was warm in the whole country. In the majority of the Polish territory the recorded temperature ranged from 19°C to 20°C. Slightly lower temperature (18°C-19°C) was recorded in the Pomeranian and the Mazurskie Lake Districts, in the eastern part of the Północnopodlaska Lowland and in the Kielecka Upland. The lowest temperature was recorded in the Bytowskie Lake District and in the western part of the Mazurskie Lake District, where it ranged from 17°C to 18°C.

The temperature distribution in the first decade of August was similar to July. The lowest temperature, below 16.5°C, was recorded in the Pomeranian Lake District, in the south-west Sudetes and in the Tatra Mountains. It was warmer in the Mazurskie Lake District and in the Małopolska Upland (17.5°C-18°C). The highest temperature, above 19.5°C was recorded in the south-eastern part of the Lubelska Upland and in the Opolska Plain. In the rest of the country temperatures ranged from 18.5°C to 19.5°C.

The second decade of August was slightly colder. The lowest temperature, below 15°C was recorded in the Suwalskie Lake District, in the central part of the Północnopodlaska Lowland, in the Sudetes, the Beskids and the Tatra Mountains. The highest temperatures, from 16.5°C to more than 17.5°C occurred in the central part of the Silesian Lowland, in the Południowowielkopolska Lowland, in the Lubawskie Lake District, and in the Mazowiecka Lowland. In the vast majority of the country the air temperature ranged from 15°C to 16.5°C.

The third decade of August was definitely warmer in comparison to the previous one. The highest air temperature (19°C-20°C) was recorded in the Lubuskie and Wielkopolskie Lake Districts, and in the Silesian and Mazowiecka Lowlands. The lowest temperature occurred in the east of Poland. In the Sudetes, Carpathians and in the Sudetian Foreland the temperature ranged from 16°C to 18°C. In the rest of the country it was higher, from 18°C to 19°C.

Precipitation in June widely varied across the country, mainly due to the stormy character of rainfalls. The lowest precipitation (below 60 mm) occurred in the western parts of the Pomeranian Lake District and the Szczecińskie Coastland, in the Mazowiecka Lowland, the Silesian Lowland, and in the Tarnowski Plateau, constituting 80-100% of the multiannual norm. In the rest of the country precipitation ranged from 80 to 160 mm. In the area of Toruń and the Białostocka Upland precipitation ranging from 180 to 200 mm occurred (constituting 200-240% of the multiannual norm). The highest precipitation values (220-260 mm, and here and there exceeding 260 mm) were recorded in the southern part of the Krakowsko-Częstochowska Upland, in the Beskids and in the Tatra Mountains, constituting 220-240% of the multiannual norm.

In the first decade of August a highly diversified precipitation was recorded. Precipitation below 10 mm occurred in the Silesian Lowland and in the southern part of the Południowowielkopolska Lowland. In the majority of the country precipitation ranged from 20 to 40 mm. The highest values, between 40 and 80 mm, and here and there exceeding 80 mm were recorded in the Koszalińskie Coastland, the Beskids, the Tatra Mountains and in the Małopolska Upland.

The second decade of August was also characterised by great variations in precipitation values. In the vast majority of the country precipitation did not exceed 5 mm. Slightly higher values (20-40 mm) were recorded in the northern part of the Pomeranian Lake District and the Mazurskie Lake District, in the Lubuskie Lake District and in the Przemyskie Foothills. The highest precipitation values ranging from 40 to 60 mm were recorded in the Koszalińskie Coastland and in the Górowskie Uplands.

In the third decade of August the lowest precipitation, below 5 mm, occurred in the Myśliborskie Lake District and in the eastern part of Południowopodlaska Lowland. The highest values, exceeding 40 mm and here and there up to 80 mm, were recorded in the Koszalińskie Coastland, in the southern part of the Silesian Lowland, in the Karpackie Foothills and the Carpathians, and in the eastern parts of Małopolska and Lubelska Uplands. In the rest of the country precipitation values ranged from 5 to 40 mm.

Report prepared by:

Dr hab. Andrzej Doroszewski, associate professor

Dr hab. Rafał Pudełko

Dr Katarzyna Żyłowska

Mgr Piotr Koza

Mgr Elżbieta Wróblewska